Theoretical Ecology Lab Tea
Theoretical Ecology lab teas are informal talks to the lab group(s) of Simon Levin, Steve Pacala, Andy Dobson, and other interested folks around Princeton or visiting. The speakers come from that same set. The talks are limited to 30 minutes including the usual questions and interruptions. Of course, lively discussion often continues beyond 30 minutes -- after the talk is concluded.
Talk schedules and email lists are maintained
by Joshua
Plotkin; food is provided by Eduardo Zea and Juan Keymer.
Contact plotkin@ias.edu to have
your name added to the labtea email list so you too can receive reminders
about upcoming lab teas. Click here for Spring
2001 schedule and summaries or Fall
2000 schedule and summaries.
Fall 2001
Wednesday, September 19 | Stephen Pratt |
Wednesday, September 26 | Ellis McKenzie (NIH) |
Wednesday, October 3 | Junling Ma |
Wednesday, October 10 | Tom Reichert (NIH) |
Wednesday, October 17 | Mayuko Nakamaru |
Wednesday, October 24 | Nandi Leslie |
Wednesday, October 31 | Akiko Satake (Kyushu University) |
Thursday, November 8 | Chris Weaver (Rutgers) |
Wednesday, November 14 | Chis Klausmeier |
Wednesday, November 21 | -- thanksgiving recess-- |
Wednesday, November 28 | Martin Nowak |
Wednesday, December 5 | Lee Worden |
Wednesday, December 12 | Helene Muller-Landau |
Wednesday, December 19 | -- winter recess-- |
Wednesday, December 26 | -- winter recess-- |
Wednesday, January 2 | -- winter recess-- |
Wednesday, January 9 | Kai Chan |
Wednesday, January 16 | Ian Rozdilsky |
Wednesday, January 23 | Jonathan Dushoff |
Titles and abstracts most recent first (posted approximately one week before the talk):
Stephen
Pratt:
Quorum
sensing and collective decision-making during colony emigration by the
ant Leptothorax albipennis
In a notable example
of collective decision-making, emigrating colonies of the ant Leptothorax
albipennis can
choose the better
of two nest sites, even when few individual ants visit both sites.
This study investigated how
this ability emerges
from the behaviors used by ants to recruit nestmates to potential homes.
We found that, in a
given emigration,
only one-third of the colony's workers ever recruit. At first, they
summon fellow recruiters
via tandem runs, in
which a single follower is physically led all the way to the new site.
They later switch to
recruiting the passive
majority of the colony via transports, in which nestmates are simply carried
to the site.
Recruitment accelerates
with the start of transport, which proceeds at a rate three times greater
than that of
tandem runs.
The recruitment switch is triggered by population increase at the new site,
such that ants lead
tandem runs when the
site is relatively empty, but change to transport once a quorum of nestmates
is present. A
simple model shows
that the quorum requirement can help a colony choose the best available
site, even when few
ants have the opportunity
to compare sites directly, because recruiters to a given site launch the
rapid transport
of the bulk of the
colony only if enough active ants have been ``convinced'' of the worth
of the site. This
exemplifies how insect
societies can achieve adaptive colony-level behaviors from the decentralized
interactions
of relatively poorly-informed
insects, each combining her own limited direct information with indirect
cues about
the experience of
her nestmates.
Ellis
McKenzie
Population
dynamics of the malaria parasite
Junling
Ma
Adaptive
dynamics and its application to resource partitioning.
Adaptive dynamics depicts
the evolution of species in a trait space. In
this talk, we are
using adaptive dynamics to study evolutionary
branching, an important
phenomenon that tells us how new species may
evolve from their
ancestor species. There is much work in this area,
particularly by Metz,
Geritz, Dieckmann, Kisdi et al. But their work does
not answer questions
of how the interaction between multiple species or
multiple traits affects
coevolution and branching.
Our research addresses
this problem, and we give a geometric view of
what happens in trait
dynamics at branching points. Our method
successfully handles
multiple species and multiple dimensional trait
spaces.
We will then discuss
several applications, such as evolutionary
partitioning of a
resource distributed along a continuous trait axis,
and interactions between
evolutionary dynamics and foodweb dynamics.
Tom
Reichert
Mayuko
Nakamaru
Extinction
Risk to Bird Populations Caused by DDT Exposure
The impact of toxic
chemicals on wild animals and plants can be quantified
in terms of the enhanced
risk of population extinction. To illustrate a
method for doing this,
we estimated such impact for two bird species:
herring gull (Larus
argentatus) in Long Island, NY, and sparrowhawk
(Accipiter nisus)
in easthern England, when they were exposed to DDT (p,
p'-dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane)
and its metabolites (called DDTs). The
method we used is
based on a formula of the mean time to population
extinction derived
for a stochastic differential equation (the canonical
model). The
intrinsic rate of natural population growth was estimated from
an exponentially growing
population, and the intensity of the environmental
fluctuation was estimated
from the magnitude of population size
fluctuation.
The effect of exposure to DDTs in reducing the population
growth rate was evaluated
based on an age-structured population model, by
assuming that age-specific
fertility is density-dependent and sensitive to
DDTs exposure, but
age-specific survivorship is not. The results are
expressed in terms
of the risk equivalent -- the decrease in carrying
capacity K that causes
the same enhancement of extinction risk as chemical
exposure at a given
level. The risk equivalent can be used in mitigation
banking.
Nandi Leslie
Habitat Conversion in the Amazonian Forest
The forest ecosystem of the Brazilian Amazon is undergoing transformation from tropical forest into agricultural and industrial landscapes. Following site abandonment, the new ecosystems are degraded and often resist forest re-establishment. The recovery process in these abandoned sites is inversely related to the intensity of the previous land use. I will present a model that connects forest regrowth dynamics to land use intensity.
Akiko Satake
Pollen coupling and Moran effect as factors for synchronized and intermittent reproduction of trees
We studied coupled map models for the dynamics
of individual energy reserve to explain the synchronized and intermittent
reproduction of trees (mast seeding), widely observed in mature forests.
We assume that trees accumulate photosynthate every year, produce flowers
when the energy reserve level exceeds a threshold, and set seeds and fruits
at a rate limited by pollen availability. The trees can show a large periodic
or chaotic fluctuation in seed crops between years in a constant environment,
and they can be synchronized over the forest if their fruit production
is limited by the availability of out-cross pollen. Two different types
of pollen dispersal, global pollen coupling and local pollen coupling,
were examined. When pollen dispersal is limited to the neighbors, it was
more difficult to realize synchronized reproduction, and perfect synchrony
did not occur although strong synchrony was created when the resource depletion
after reproduction was small. We also investigated the effect of correlated
environmental fluctuation experienced by different individuals. Without
pollen coupling, strongly correlated environmental fluctuation failed to
produce a clearly positive correlation of seed production between individual
trees. Positive correlation was maintained at a high level if both pollen
coupling and correlated environmental fluctuation were at work.
Chris Weaver
Regional
Modeling as a Tool for Exploring Land-Atmosphere
Interactions
Abstract: This talk will be an overview
of issues relating to better
understanding the interactions between
the land surface and the atmosphere
and better representing these interactions
at the large space and time
scales of global climate models.
The context will be the recent, ongoing
work in our group using a high-resolution,
regional coupled
land-atmosphere model. Questions to be
considered include: How important
are processes and/or variability happening
at small scales, in both the
land system (e.g., ecosystem dynamics
and vegetation distribution, human
modification of the land surface) and
the atmosphere (e.g., vertical
transport, clouds, precipitation) at large
scales? What are potential
feedbacks that might nonlinearly "scale
up" these small-scale interactions
over larger areas and longer time periods?
How can high-resolution
numerical models help us to investigate
these things and (maybe) improve
our climate models?
Chris Klausmeier
Models of Plankton Community Assembly
Lake plankton communities are ideal systems
for theoretically minded
community ecologists. I will give
an overview of my past, current, and
future work in three domains of organization
in plankton communities:
spatial, temporal, and structural.
1) Spatial patterns occur in poorly
mixed water columns, and include thin
layers of phytoplankton at depth
or on the surface or bottom. I've
used an ESS approach to modelling
these vertical distributions. 2)
Lakes undergo seasonal succession,
with broad similarities from year to year.
I'm using periodically
forced models to understand these successional
pathways. 3) Community
structure (species traits and diversity)
depends on abiotic
characteristics of the lake. I'm
using adaptive dynamics to understand
how community assembly maps environmental
conditions into patterns of
community organization.
Martin Nowak
The somatic ecology of human cancer
TBA.
Lee Worden
TBA
Helene Muller-Landau
TBA
TBA.
[back to schedule]
Kai Chan
TBA
Ian Rozdilsky
TBA
Jonathan Dushoff
TBA